There is no doubt that the
housing market is coming back nicely. What, if anything, could slow down the
current momentum? We believe it may be sellers’ over exuberance when it comes
to pricing. There is little doubt that house prices have appreciated over the
last twelve months in most regions of the country. However, with both the inventory
of homes for sale and interest rates increasing, we have to be careful to not
over judge what the market can bare.
Trulia just reported that asking prices have jumped dramatically
and the increase is accelerating:
§ Year-Over-Year prices
jumped 10.7%
§ Quarter-Over-Quarter
prices jumped 4.1% (16.4% annualized)
§ Month-Over-Month prices
jumped 1.5% (18% annualized)
No expert is expecting home
prices to shoot up 18% in the next twelve months. If anything, price
appreciation may slow as rates and inventories increase. Investors will begin
to slow their purchases and the first-time buyers expected to take their place
will be working within a pre-set budget in many cases.
Buyers’ Purchasing Power
Let’s look
at an example: A young couple is looking for a home and have predetermined that
their budget will only allow them to spend $1,000 a month on a mortgage. At
today’s mortgage rate of 4.5%, they could afford a $200,000 mortgage ($1,013
principal & interest). However, if rates jump to 5%, they would have
to lower their mortgage amount to $190,000 in order to keep their monthly
payment where they need it ($1,020). At 5.5%, the mortgage would need to be no
more than $180,000 ($1,022).
The Impact on Prices
This decrease in buyers’
purchasing power will have an impact on home values going forward. We do not
believe it will cause a decrease in prices. However, we do believe it will
likely cause current rates of appreciation to slow.
If you are thinking about
selling your home, don’t get carried away with current headlines about
home price increases that have taken place over the last twelve months.
Instead, call a local real estate professional. They will be best prepared to
explain where prices are headed over the next six months.If you have any questions about the worth of your home or property, please give me a call toll free at (888) 617-7654 or send an email to joyce@intracoastalrealty.com. I'll be more than happy to do a Market Analysis for your
Listing and Selling real estate in the Kure Beach, Carolina Beach, Wrightsville Beach and the Wilmington, NC area.
No comments:
Post a Comment