Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Interest Rates Are Increasing - Slowly


Interest Rates Are Increasing


interest ratesA big component in the cost of a home is the mortgage interest rate a purchaser pays. Understanding where rates are headed will help in making a decision whether to buy now or wait.

So, Where Are Rates Headed?


No one can know for sure. The Fed has been artificially holding rates down to stimulate the economy. However, as the economy improves, many experts expect rates to creep up. As an example, HSH Associates, the nation’s largest publisher of mortgage and consumer loan information, recently explained:

“The stronger the economy becomes, the higher rates may grind; the Federal Reserve is keeping them low to goose the economy, but an economy responding to the Fed’s medicine will soon see less of a need for it in order to function. If not otherwise manipulated, higher rates are the natural result of a growing economy, as rising demand for available credit supply and concerns about inflation allow costs to rise.”

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) agrees. They were quoted in HousingWire late last year regarding their thoughts on where rates would be headed in 2013.

“After reaching record lows in 2012, mortgage rates are expected to creep up slowly in 2013, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicted.”

In the MBA’s latest Mortgage Finance Forecast they forecast that the 30 year interest rate will be 4.3% by the end of the year. This represents an increase of almost a full percentage point from the 3.4% rate available at the end of 2012.

Mortgage PaymentsFor example, we show the impact a one percent increase in rate will have on the monthly principal and interest payment on a $200,000 mortgage.

Freddie Mac’s Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey reveals that rates have increased by 2/10ths of a percentage point already this year.

As we mentioned, no one knows for sure where rates will be a year from now. But, many experts think they may be as much as a point higher. With rising residential real estate prices and the possibility of higher mortgage rates, waiting to buy a home makes no sense in our opinion.

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Prices Are Rising at an Accelerated Rate


Part I – Prices Are Rising at an Accelerated Rate


prices upThe price of a home is the major consideration when deciding whether or not it makes financial sense to purchase a house. Experts are not only projecting that house values will increase in 2013. They are also more optomistic in the level of appreciation they are projecting as the market begins to heat up. Here are some examples:

The Home Price Expectation Survey


The latest survey of a nationwide panel of 118 economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists reveals they project home values to end 2013 up an average of 4.6% according to the first quarter. This is after they had projected a 3.1% increase just three months ago.

Bank of America


In a report titled, Someone Say House Party?, Bank of America analysts revised their projections upward:

“Home prices continue to show momentum amid shrinking inventory and record high affordability, prompting us to revise up our original forecast of 4.7% for home prices this year. We now expect national home prices, as defined by the S&P Case Shiller home price index, to increase 8% this year.”

Capital Economics


According to a report in DSNews, Capital Economics also upgraded their prediction:

“Strong demand and tight inventory have brought existing home sales back to ‘normal’ levels, and further gains are possible, according to the latest market report from Capital Economics. Additionally, market conditions may prompt lenders to “loosen the purse strings slightly” and lend a little more freely.

These conditions, combined with broader economic indicators, lead Capital Economics to revise its previous forecast of a 5% price gain this year up to 8%.”

Morgan Stanley


In an article from HousingWire, Morgan Stanley joined the party:

“Strong momentum in home prices as well as housing activity gave Morgan Stanley analysts enough confidence to upgrade their home price appreciation projections to roughly 7% (from 5%) for 2013, according to its latest global securitized credit report…

“The momentum in most metrics of housing activity is running well ahead of the pace we had expected,” said James Egan, Jose Cambronero and Vishwanath Tirupattur, analysts for Morgan Stanley.” 

Not only are prices projected to appreciate. Experts are actually revising their projections upward as demand maintains its momentum.
 
 

Friday, March 22, 2013

Top 10 Remodeling Projects


I found this interesting graph showing what home improvement projects give you the greatest return on your investment.  If you plan on selling your home and wondering where you can have the greatest impact on the value of your home, check out this graph.

If you are thinking about selling and are wondering what home improvements you might want to consider, please give me a call.  I'll be glad to give you a market analysis and discuss what improvements you may want to consider. Whether your property is in Carolina Beach or Kure Beach or any where in New Hanover County, give me a call or send me an email and I'll be more than happy to meet with you to discuss the sale of your home.  (Visit my website at www.joycebarnwell.com to see what's on the market in  your area.

Top 10 Remodeling Projects

Original InfoGraphic by California Association of Realtors (CAR)

Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Help A Seller Out: 5 Tips Buyers Would Give Sellers if they Could


Here is an excellent article written by Tara-Nicholle Nelson.  I found a lot of good information in her comments. 
Joyce

Tara-Nicholle Nelson is a real estate broker, attorney, syndicated columnist and author of two critically acclaimed books on real estate.

It is a rare occurrence these days to have a home’s buyer and seller sit down around the kitchen table to make a deal. In some areas, they do still sit around the attorney’s boardroom table to close the deal, but by that time, the deal is done and the ship has already sailed on any avoidable mistakes.

So in the vast majority of home sales, buyer and seller never connect in person, never talk, and never exchange insights or information except in the most formal, written formats - despite being effective business colleagues in one of the single most important transactions of their lives. And here’s the rub: buyers sit on a wealth of knowledge that sellers crave to know, most of which could be filed under how to attract buyers and make them want to buy a home (or at least, not turn them off). So, since buyers and sellers can’t get together, allow me to reveal a handful of helpful insider insights that the buyers I’ve worked with and connected with over the years would reveal to sellers, if they could.

1. You should see what your home looks like online. No, really. If you did your due diligence before listing your home for sale, met with agents and reviewed their marketing plan they use for their listings, chances are good that you chose an agent who takes online marketing very seriously and said as much during your listing interview. But somehow, there are still hundreds of listings in every major city that receive a failing grade on their online presence, once the home has actually been listed.

Every day, online listings are activated on Trulia and all across the real estate web with:

  • only one or two pictures
  • no pictures at all
  • multiple photos that represent the home very poorly or show it in its worst light, in terms of the shots selected and included in the listing (e.g., photos focusing on the dumpster in front of the house, or the messy breakfast dishes on the table), or
  • listing descriptions that bemuse us buyers, but would befuddle and even anger the homeowner, like the homes whose descriptions start off with the attention grabbing: “This place is a mess!”

Sometimes, there’s just a glitch along the production chain that it takes to get a property marketed; other times, there’s an actual error in judgment that took place. But it’s free for you, seller, to hop online and just do a quick audit of the way your home is represented in the same listings, virtual tours, and property websites that buyers will see. And it’s often the only way these glitches will get caught, brought to the agent’s attention and rectified. So you should.

2. If your home is seriously overpriced, I’ll wait for the price to come down before I even come see it. You might be thinking the best plan of action is to list your home high, planning on the fact that prospective buyers will want to bargain the price down. And, in fact, this might be true for your area - your agent can brief you on what the standard negotiation practices in your neck of the woods are, and you two can then work together to factor them into your pricing strategy.

That said, even in an area where homes generally go for below-asking, buyers are willing to do some basic negotiation. They are
not, generally, interested in correcting a seller’s belief system about their home and its value that are clearly not based in the realm of reality. That seems daunting and like too much work to do - as well, there are so many properties to see, and buyers have to invest so much time, energy and emotion in making an offer, they don’t like to do that in cases where the seller’s list price is so bizarrely above-market that the chances of coming to a meeting of the minds about price are slim.

If your home is dramatically overpriced, compared to the others in the area or compared to it’s market price range, most serious home buyers in the market for a home like yours will either (a) never come see it, because it doesn’t show up in the price range they are searching online, or (b) not come see it unless and until you drop the price, because it simply isn’t worth their time and energy until you correct your pricing into the realm of the realistic.

3. There are a whole lot of fish in the sea - I only have to find one. Agents and mortgage brokers talk to buyers a whole lot about compromising, and what they can expect on the market as a whole, and such. But my reality is this: home buyers are not in the business of market analysis. They are in the business of finding a home. Only. One. Home.

Yes, ultimately, every buyer has to make
some compromises. No home is perfect, and every person who buys a home eventually gets that. But even in a heating market like the one we’re in right now, there are lots of homes coming onto the market every single day. Any given buyer only has to find one that works for them. To buy your house - any house - that buyer really does need to feel inspired by it enough to feel like it could work for their family, their needs and their life as their home.

If you take shortcuts when it comes to primping and prepping your home for the market, it becomes super obvious to buyers when they scrutinize it, even if it’s really priced well. On the other hand, the homes that were well cared for, prepared and priced shine above the others, at every price point.

4. If I nitpick your house, that probably means I like it. Every buyer’s broker has a horrific moment, at some point in their career, where they realize their buyer has been trash talking a home - its nasty wallpaper, vomitrocious carpet, silly stylistic choices, etc. and so forth - and the home’s seller has managed to overhear this diatribe. The pool boy who was at the property turns out to be the seller’s son, the sellers turn out to have been next door or in the basement through the entire showing, or the teddy bear-cum-Nanny Cam has advanced audio capabilities.

Here’s why this horrifies buyer’s agents: the buyer that goes to all that trouble to dissect precisely what they would do differently if a given house belonged to them is a buyer who is thinking about making an offer on that very house.

The more questions, critiques, nitpicks, “What I would do’s” and such a buyer rattles off about a home, the more likely they are to make an offer on it. Of course, the occasional curmudgeonly amateur designer likes to just rip other’s decor choices apart for the fun of it, but many otherwise lovely individuals do this when they get serious about a home as part of the exercise of visualizing the property as theirs, and envisioning themselves, their families and their stuff in it. This is how buyers take a place that might not be perfectly move-in ready for them, and figure out how they might be able to make it work.

So if you happen to overhear a nitpicky buyer dissecting your home and verbally tearing down walls or ripping up carpet, don’t despair. They might simply be mentally “trying on” your home as their home.

5. When it comes to staging, the bar is high. Really high. HGTV. Houzz. Architectural Digest. All these outlets which constantly publish beautifully designed and decorated homes have influenced what the average American expects their home to look like - and yours, for that matter. Additionally, all the do-it-yourself publications and shows along with the advent of home improvement stores which double as DIY design emporiums have given everyday people of modest means the power to live in beautiful and functional homes, without breaking the bank.

Beyond all this, professional home staging has taken off in recent years, as data has repeatedly shown that staged homes sell faster, for more, and more certainly than homes that are not staged, nor well-prepared by their owners. So not only is your home competing with the homes buyers are seeing on TV and in the magazines, it is also competing with professionally staged homes for sale right in your own neighborhood - homes that the very buyers who will come to see your home will also have seen, possibly right before or after they view yours!

So, if you want to and can afford to have your home staged, do. If you can’t, you should still take the preparation of your home very seriously, and include your agent or a stager you hire for an hour of advice in the process, taking their input on things like:

  • what furniture to get rid of
  • which improvements will get you the most bang for your buck with local buyers
  • and what paint, flooring and other finish materials will appeal to the broadest buyer segment in your area.

These pros often also have contacts with local handypeople, painters, landscapers and other vendors who can get your home ready for market in a time and cost-efficient manner.

Homeownership: The Reports of Its Death...


 

factsMark Twain and homeownership are both iconic pieces of the American experience. And like what happened to Twain in 1897, recent reports of homeownership’s death have been greatly exaggerated. Ever since the housing bubble burst, many so-called experts have predicted the end of homeownership as part of the American Dream. Today, we want to expose some of these myths.

MYTH #1:


After the housing crash, Americans would no longer believe in homeownership.

FACT:


While homeownership has fallen from a high of 69.2% in 2004 to 65.4% at the end of 2012, the desire to own a home is still strong.

§ 73% of Americans say it is a good time to buy a home. (Fannie Mae)

§ 70% of Americans see homeownership as part of the American Dream. (Trulia)

§ In every age group from 25 to 65 years old, over 80% plan to buy a home in the future. Even 76% of those over 65 years old plan to buy a home in the future. (Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University)

MYTH #2:


Those families that were forced from their homes during the housing crash would never look at homeownership in a positive light again.

FACT:


§ Many of the sellers who lost their home to a short sale or foreclosure over the last six years are re-entering the housing market as purchasers. It is projected that over 700,000 people in this category could be in the market for a home in 2013 and that the number will more than double to over 1.5 million in 2014. (Moody’s Analytics)

§ Nearly 80% of those homeowners who decided to strategically default (walking away from the house and mortgage) over the last few years have expressed a desire to buy a home again within the next 12 months. (YouWalkAway.com)

MYTH #3:


Young adults, after seeing their parents suffer major loses of equity, will not embrace homeownership especially as a financial investment.

FACT:


Not one study has substantiated this myth. Recent studies have actually proven the exact opposite:

§ 72% of young adults between 18-35 years old see homeownership as part of their personal American Dream. (Trulia)

§ 75% of young adults between 18-35 years old see homeownership as an indicator of success. (Realogy)

§ 94% of young adults under 25 and 96% between the ages of 25-34 plan to buy a home. (Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University)

§ 79% of young adults under 25 years old and 86% of young adults 25-34 believe that owning is a better financial decision than renting. (Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University)
Obviously, the reports of the death of homeownership in America were GREATLY exaggerated.

Homeownership is definately not dead on Pleasure Island.  Please give me a call for all your real estate needs. (910) 617-7654 or email me at joyce@intracoastalrealty.com . Serving Wilmington, Carolina Beach, Kure Beach, Wrightsville Beach and surrounding areas. I'm happy to answer any of your real estate questions. Ask about a free Market Analysis to see what your home is worth.

Monday, March 11, 2013

When She Speaks,We Should Listen



ZelmanIvy Zelman is an industry expert consistently recognized by Institutional Investor, Greenwich Associates, StarMine and The Wall Street Journal as an industry-leading analyst. What separates her from many other analysts is the fact that she has accurately called the real estate market continuously over the last decade.

Her Position in 2006


She was one of the first to call the burst of the housing bubble. She was nicknamed ‘Poison Ivy’ for the harsh positions she took in combating the overly optimistic views of many in the industry at the time.

What happened next?

Existing home sales plummeted, new construction starts feel to historic lows and prices dropped by 50% in some areas of the country.

Her Position in 2012


Ivy Zelman, in a Wall Street Journal article in March Stunned Home Buyers Find the Bidding Wars Are Back, projected that the real estate market was about to rebound and that home prices would begin to appreciate. She emphatically claimed:

“We very much believe we’ve hit bottom.”

What happened next?

Pending sales (homes going into contract) surged in May and have remained above what is recognized as a healthy market level ever since. Starting in June, home prices began to appreciate on a year-over-year basis. This continued through the rest of the year with yearend appreciation coming in at 6.8%.

Her Position Today

What is Ms. Zelman saying today? In an interview on CNBC, she said:

“I think we are in Nirvana for housing…I’m probably the most bullish I’ve ever been fundamentally…I think home prices could go up for four to six years…Today, the urgency and sentiment toward buying residential real estate is back.”

What will the future bring?
If Ms. Zelman’s past predictions are evidence of her understanding of the housing industry, it seems that real estate is about to make a dramatic comeback.

Please give me a call for all your real estate needs.  (910) 617-7654 or email me at joyce@intracoastalrealty.com .  Serving Wilmington, Carolina Beach, Kure Beach, Wrightsville Beach and surrounding areas.  I'm happy to answer any of your real estate questions.  Ask about a free Market Analysis to see what your home is worth.